Buy Gold Buy Silver How to Buy Gold How to Buy Silver

Monday, October 15, 2007

Gold Price Shining Bright

Gold Price Shining Bright
David Urban
blog.myspace.com/global112

Newmont announced on Wednesday that they were going to acquire Canadian Gold Miner Miramar for $1.53 billion dollars. Miramar’s primary asset is a massive gold area in the Hope Bay area of Canada’s Nanavut territory where the total resource size may be in excess of 10 million ounces. At $1.53 billion dollars, Newmont is roughly paying $153/oz for each ounce of gold.

Expect more consolidation between gold majors looking to add significant deposits due to declining mine production and mid-tier gold companies looking to consolidate and become the next major.

Among the investment banks, UBS raised their target gold average to $760/oz in 2008, up from $650/oz and $700/oz up from $550/oz. and Citigroup just raised their average gold price for 2009 to $800/oz and $820/oz in 2010. The 2008 estimate of $750/oz remained unchanged. I see gold up 20% in 2008 and maybe another 10% in 2009.

A lot depends on the US elections but the trend is up. The Gold Price should retest the old high sometime in the 2nd quarter of next year with new highs made late in the year. 2009 should bring a test of the $1,000 level. After that the sky is the limit.

The gold longs have been holding strong in the face of some serious selling which looks to be drying up. This may signal the end of Central Banks ability to keep down the gold price. The key here will be capitulation by the jewelry buyers. Stores in India have been switching to costume gold jewelry and China is encouraging silver and palladium.

The central banks may just decide to step aside as they realize that as the US destroys its currency and they are forced to defend their own it makes no sense to sell gold into the market.

Last week I read an interesting article which bears mentioning for the long-term price of gold. Indian Union State Minister for Mines T. Subbarami Reddy told a seminar in India that the Indian Central Government has decided to stop the importing of gold and diamonds within the next 10 years and that the government plans on emphasizing the exploration of diamond and gold in the nation’s five gold and diamond states.

While this does not affect the price of gold today it is a significant piece of news that bears watching for the long-term.

Tuesday, September 18, 2007

Sit Tight With Gold and Silver - We Have a Major Move Coming Our Way

James Turk of goldmoney.com, compares the current time to 1974, when we had the first big move in the gold price from $35 to over $100 an ounce. A tripling in the gold price in a couple of years time, driven by problems in the banking system and commercial paper market.

James Turk's advice is to "Sit tight with your gold and silver. We have a major move coming our way."

Listen to the full interview at kereport.com here:

http://www.kereport.com/DailyRadio/Daily091707.mp3

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

Gold Price Bottom on 24th of May


The GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator is based on a number of variables related to website traffic on goldprice.org and other popular gold and silver websites around the world.

The Sentiment Indicator has spiked at almost every major top and bottom in the gold price during the past year. Our last update on the 6th of March suggested a bottom in gold had occurred on the 5th of March, this has since turned out to be spot on.

GOLDPRICE.ORG Sentiment Indicator Suggests the bottom may be in for the gold price and that now is a good time to buy gold.

On Thursday the 24th of May 2007 the GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator had the largest spike since the previous bottom in the gold price on the 5th of March. This spike suggests a bottom occurred when the gold price bottomed on Thursday the 24th of May at $651.50 per ounce.

Even with reliable indicators like this one there are never any guarantees. There is always the possibility of a lower low. That is why it is prudent to buy physical gold that you own 100% and why you shouldn't buy gold on margin.

GOLDPRICE.ORG highly recommends GoldMoney as a safe, convenient and cost effective way to buy 100% pure gold and silver bullion online, stored in a secure vault.

Set up a free GoldMoney account to buy gold and silver in minutes!

Tuesday, March 06, 2007

Gold Price Bottom on the 5th of March 2007


The GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator is based on a number of variables related to website traffic on goldprice.org and other popular gold and silver websites around the world.

The Sentiment Indicator has spiked at almost every major top and bottom in the gold price during the past year. Recently the Sentiment Indicator picked the last bottom in the gold price perfectly on the 5th of January at $601.

The last spike was the biggest in the history of the Sentiment Indicator and occurred on the 27th of February the day the gold price hit a high of $668.50 before this last correction started.

GOLDPRICE.ORG Sentiment Indicator Suggests the bottom may be in for the gold price and that now is a good time to buy gold.

On Monday the 5th of March 2007 the GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator spiked which suggested a bottom occurred when the gold price bottomed on Monday the 5th of March at just over $632 per ounce.

Even with reliable indicators like this one there are never any guarantees. There is always the possibility of a lower low. That is why it is prudent to buy physical gold that you own 100% and why you shouldn't buy gold on margin.

GOLDPRICE.ORG highly recommends GoldMoney as a safe, convenient and cost effective way to buy 100% pure gold and silver bullion online, stored in a secure vault.

Set up a free GoldMoney account to buy gold and silver in minutes!

Monday, January 08, 2007

Gold Price Bottom on the 5th of January 2007




The GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator is based on a number of variables related to website traffic on goldprice.org and other popular gold and silver websites around the world.

The Sentiment Indicator has spiked at almost every major top and bottom in the gold price during the past year. The last spike occurred the day before this most recent correction in the gold price on January 2nd.

GOLDPRICE.ORG Sentiment Indicator Suggests the bottom may be in for the gold price and that now is a good time to buy gold.

On Friday the 5th of January 2007 the GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator spiked which suggested an intermediate bottom occurred when the gold price bottomed on Friday the 5th of December at just over $601 per ounce.

Even with reliable indicators like this one there are never any guarantees. There is always the possibility of a lower low, like occurred in October 2006 after the September 2006 low. That is why it is prudent to buy physical gold that you own 100% and why you shouldn't buy gold on margin.

GOLDPRICE.ORG highly recommends GoldMoney as an excellent way to buy 100% pure gold and silver bullion online, stored in a secure vault.

Set up a free GoldMoney account to buy gold and silver in minutes!

Tuesday, December 19, 2006

Gold Price Bottomed on the 18th of December



(Click the image above to enlarge)

The GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator is based on a number of variables related to website traffic on goldprice.org and other popular gold and silver websites around the world.

You can see in the chart above that the Sentiment Indicator (the blue line) spiked at almost every major top and bottom in the gold price during the past year. Its last spike occured on November 30 when the gold price reached an intermediate top at $650. Since this time the gold price has been falling.

GOLDPRICE.ORG Sentiment Indicator Suggests the bottom is in for the gold price and that now is a good time to buy gold.

On the 19th of December 2006 the GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator spiked which suggested an intermediate bottom occurred when the gold price bottomed on Friday the 18th of December at just under $612 per ounce.

We expect this will be the last correction before the gold and silver price rockets. This is one of the best buying opportunities in this gold bull market.

Even with reliable indicators like this one there are never any guarantees. There is always the possibility of a lower low, like occurred in October after the September low. That is why it is prudent to buy physical gold that you own 100% and why you shouldn't buy gold on margin.

Richard Russell of dowtheoryletters.com who has been publishing his newsletter since 1958 says:
"I don't buy gold futures. I don't buy gold on margin. I don't buy gold puts or calls. I don't trade gold. Therefore, when gold ran up to $540 on December 12th (2005), I didn't get excited. And then when gold dropped to just above $500 yesterday I didn't get depressed. You see, on a daily or even weekly or monthly basis, I don't give a damn where gold goes. I don't care because I'm holding gold in terms of years, not months or weeks or days. And I own it outright. I don't own it the way half of America own their homes -- namely, on (mortgage) margin."

GOLDPRICE.ORG highly recommends GoldMoney as an excellent way to buy 100% pure gold and silver bullion online, stored in a secure vault.

Set up a free GoldMoney account to buy gold and silver in minutes!

Wednesday, November 08, 2006

Gold Price Sentiment Indicator Suggests Intermediate Top on November 5th



The GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator is based on a number of variables related to website traffic on goldprice.org and other popular gold and silver websites around the world.

Our previous update on October 8th suggested a major bottom had occurred on October 4th 2006 at $562. We recommended our subscribers buy gold at this time. This turned out to be spot on. As you can see in the chart above. The gold price (the red line) has been rising steadily since then. You can also see our sentiment indicator the blue line spiked exactly on the October 4th bottom in gold. You can also see that it spiked at almost every other major top and bottom in the gold price during the last 6 months.

GOLDPRICE.ORG Sentiment Indicator Suggests an Intermediate Top in the Gold Price occurred on November 5th, 2006

On the 5th of November 2006 the GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator spiked which suggested an intermediate top occurred on that date. The gold price closed at $628.1 on the 5th of November and has been falling since then.

The next update to the GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator will be provided when it spikes again suggesting a bottom in the gold price. We expect this will be the last correction before the gold and silver price rockets. This will be one of the best buying opportunities when it occurs.

Subscribers to the GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator will be alerted via email on the day it takes place.

If you would like to subscribe to the GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator, please email goldprice AT gmail.com. Our yearly subscription fee is 5 grams of gold payable via goldmoney.com

Sunday, October 08, 2006

GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator Suggests Major Bottom on October 4th




The GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator is based on a number of variables related to website traffic on goldprice.org and other popular gold and silver websites around the world.

The chart above shows a history of the gold price versus the GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator going back to 2005.

As you can see the sentiment indicator spikes have correlated amazingly well with most of the major tops and bottoms in the gold price during 2006. Over time as the website traffic has increased and the sample size has grown the sentiment indicator has become more accurate.

Sentiment Indicator Suggests Major Bottom in the Gold Price on October 4th, 2006
On the 4th of October the sentiment indicator spiked which suggested a major bottom occurred on that date. The gold price closed at $562 on the 4th of October.

Buy Gold Now!
If the sentiment indicator is correct as it has been for the recent major bottoms in the gold price, right now is an excellent time to buy gold. The next update to the sentiment indicator will be provided when it spikes again suggesting a intermediate top in the gold price.

goldprice.org highly recommend goldmoney.com as a safe and convenient way to buy physical gold online.

Friday, August 04, 2006

You Can't Eat Gold - Self-Sufficiency Is The Secret

Your Can't Eat Gold!
by David Andrews

Or, The True Nature of Wealth, and Its Sustainability

Defining Wealth

Recently I was speaking to a couple of friends about the gold market and the US economy in general, and one of them startled me when he said, "You can't eat gold, you know!" Of course not, I thought, it would just break my teeth! On the other hand, I couldn't think of anything more sickening than eating the usual tattered, filthy Federal Reserve Note. But the comment did get me thinking.

Anyone who considers the US dollar (Federal Reserve Note) to be in any danger of collapsing, or losing purchasing power at all, should be thinking right now about dealing with that eventuality. And the comment about eating gold brings up the question, just how would we pay for food - not to mention the other necessities of life? We take it for granted that everything from aspirin to D batteries to new socks will forever be on store shelves, just awaiting purchase with Federal Reserve Notes, which will always buy anything.

What if that premise is false? What can we do when FRNs will not buy much (if anything) at all, and perhaps the merchandise will not be available for purchase with any type of money? Can we really expect that sitting on a pile of gold will magically fill the store shelves for us? We won't be able to bring silver and gold coins to the stores without being robbed or even killed. Could some exogenous event bring down the whole house of cards, leaving Americans to scramble for the last available goods?

This brought up another question: what is real wealth? If it isn't FRNs and if it isn't gold or silver, what is it? Money, whether hard cash or paper fiat, may be a store of wealth, but it isn't wealth itself. We can't eat it, wear it, live in it, drive it, or use it for much of anything. Wealth comprises all the goods on store shelves, including food, clothing, fuel, matches, auto parts, flashlights, blankets, children's cough syrup, and everything else that provide the comforts of life. It also includes a roof over our heads, some working form of transportation, and perhaps most importantly, the freedom to enjoy the privacy of family life. Wealth also includes the ability to sustain this standard of living, to be self-sufficient, to be able to provide more of all of these things, even in the absence of a common currency. To depend on a currency - any type of currency - involves a loss of control over what will be accepted in exchange for real wealth.

Too many of us think of wealth as consisting of assets falling into one or more of the asset classes - stocks, bonds, commodities, cash, real estate, and so on. If it brings income or growth, we count it as an asset. With the possible exception of real estate, all these assets are not wealth per se, but a means of investment of money (which we would hope could be trusted as a store of value). Real estate, if held as a family home owned free and clear, ceases to be just an investment, and becomes an item of real wealth. If it carries a mortgage, it is simply a liability.

The Problem of Sustaining Wealth

Let us imagine a family that is fortunate enough to have a home, owned free of encumbrances. Perhaps they had enough foresight to stock the pantry very well, and have enough food to carry them for a year or more. If they had accumulated "stuff" at anywhere near the rate that most of us have, they would own enough clothing, medicine, household furnishings, tools, and vehicles to last for at least several years. Let us also assume, as this family seems to be very wise, that they are debt-free and have some cash savings, perhaps even a little gold, bought as an investment.

Along comes the "exogenous event" - war, hurricane, terrorist attack - we have been through all of that in the past few years and survived, therefore it may be a totally different type of event, or a more devastating event. It will be unexpected by most, although many of us know that something, some trigger, must eventually level the imbalances in American and global finance. Perhaps it would be an oil or energy crisis. It may be a dollar devaluation, or both. Our well-prepared family finds itself suddenly thrust into a world where their cash savings buy little, if anything. The transportation system breaks down, and goods disappear quickly from store shelves. If you live in an area that has been recently ravaged by a hurricane, you know just how quickly this can happen!

What can this family do? One or two of them are employed, but the currency in which they are paid buys virtually nothing. Soon, even the employment is lost. They have a good deal of wealth and security in the form of a paid-off home, stockpiled food, and other goods. But let us suppose that winter is coming on, and the home needs to be heated. Perhaps the property taxes are coming due. Or maybe medical care is needed for a family member. None of these things can be purchased in the currency that they have used all their lives.

It could correctly be stated that even a family that starts out with a good deal of wealth, may not be able to sustain it. Anything that requires an output begins to erode their wealth. They may be able to barter with a neighbor for firewood, or find a doctor willing to accept investment-grade gold coins for medical treatment. Then what? They won't be able to turn to FEMA for anything!

If this wise family lacks the flexibility and the know-how to sustain the wealth and the living standard that they have worked so hard for, they will begin to lose that wealth and way of life pretty quickly. If the property taxes cannot be paid, they may lose their home. If they run short on food, they will not be able to re-stock at the supermarket. They may not be able to find the fuel they need for heating and cooking. If this situation persists for any length of time, for perhaps a few years, they would end up destitute.

Unlikely Survival of The Unfit

By now it should be apparent to the reader that having dollars or Euros or gold or stocks or bonds, is not a foolproof method of sustaining wealth. Whichever currencies or assets that survive the financial meltdown that appears inevitable, will be good to save for re-building when the period of devastation is over. There won't be much available to purchase with them in the interim. What is our imaginary family to do during the crisis years, between now and then? How can they stem the flow of wealth out of their pockets, recapture it, extend it, and survive to re-build when the time comes?

Our ancestors had the answers to these questions, but today, we have become fat, lazy, and complacent. During the Great Depression, there were far more family farms in America than there are now. What happened? Oil is what happened! Americans began buying cars and commuting to jobs in the cities, and suburban sprawl was born. Supermarkets stocked the shelves with a far greater variety of foods than could be found locally. Cheap oil enabled all of us to enjoy a culinary abundance, shipped from all over the world as well as the most fertile areas of the United States. We could make more money spending 8 or 10 hours a day in a factory or office in the city than we ever could on a farm, milking cows and hoeing beans. As family farms disappeared, agribusiness took their place. Using cheap petroleum-based fertilizers and pesticides, American farmers were able to supply the world with food. The money we earned in the cities enabled the phenomenon of discount retail to flourish, raising the standard of living for any American who wished to take part.

Today, we have become so accustomed to this way of life that all save the oldest among us knows no other. During the craziness of the recent real estate boom, prime farm acreage was worth more to sell to a developer than it was to use as a farm. Certainly nobody wanted to pay the rising taxes on it. As the old folks passed on and their baby-boomer kids inherited the baby boodle, such large tracts of acreage were sold off to become more suburban sprawl.

That leaves us in quite a tough spot, as oil threatens to reach $100 and more per barrel, as tensions in the Middle East begin to explode. Suddenly, the daily commute to work is getting expensive. Prices of virtually all goods and services are rising too fast for Americans to keep up, as most of those goods and services are dependent upon inexpensive oil in some way. Monetary inflation shares a great deal of the blame here, but not all of it. Our soft lifestyle is also a culprit. At this rate, America is increasingly in danger of losing her middle class, the backbone of the nation. Our wealth is flowing fast out of our hands into foreign ones. And the real crisis has not yet started.

Self-Sufficiency Is The Secret

When goods become scarce, or too expensive to purchase, we must re-learn how to provide the necessities for ourselves. If we are living in a $400,000 home with a mortgage that breaks the budget, the easy answer is to move to something that can be owned outright with whatever equity is left after the sale of the McMansion. Often, there is no equity in it, and other assets may have to be liquidated to get into something - anything - that will provide shelter for no cost beyond property taxes and insurance.

When supermarket shelves become empty because big-time agribusiness can no longer afford the petroleum-based fertilizers needed to grow food or the gas to run the big combines, we will have to grow it again ourselves. If gasoline becomes too expensive to commute to that city job that no longer supports us, we will have to leave that sort of employment for another that does.

Self-sufficiency involves the abandoning of a market economy while turning to a use economy. In other words, rather than going to a city job to earn the money to purchase the goods we need, we produce them directly, for ourselves. This has far greater implications than hard-core survivalism, or hoeing a row of beans. It means that we will have to take a step or two back in time, perhaps to take a lesson from the Amish or Mennonites. We will need a system that will work for us, when the one we have used for so long begins to fail.

And fail it will. We will not be able to depend on the government to step in and do something about it. For all intents and purposes, our government is bankrupt and may not survive in its current form. That in itself is a grave danger to all of us, and a return to a simpler and more self-sufficient lifestyle may become a matter of life and death. Those individuals and families who are unwilling to face this reality will find little sympathy from their more nimble and open-minded neighbors. If America is to survive, it will need citizens willing to do whatever is necessary to survive. The clock is ticking, and we may have a few years - very few - to prepare for a big change. This is how real wealth is going to be defined on the foreseeable future. Don't expect much in the way of a warning. As I have already stated, it will take most by surprise.

Gold Price Sentiment Indicator

A Brief History of GOLDPRICE.ORG Proprietary Gold Price Sentiment Indicator in 2006.



How the Sentiment Indicator Works

In its most basic form provided in the chart above, the sentiment indicator suggests a top or a bottom in the gold price or a major change in direction of a trend line when the sentiment indicator spikes. The sentiment indicator is based on a number of variables related to website traffic on goldprice.org and other popular gold and silver websites around the world.

The previous spikes in the sentiment indicator correlate well with the last five major tops and bottoms in the price of gold during 2006. We have displayed a chart of one component of the sentiment indicator that is quite accurate, although the sentiment indicator has many components, which help to determine if a spike is associated with a top in the gold price, a bottom or a signal of an approaching break out to the upside or downside.


Below is a brief history of the major signals provided by the GOLDPRICE.ORG Gold Price Sentiment Indicator in 2006.


Top 1. Occured on the 16th of April 2006, when the gold price broke out to the upside above $600 US. You can see that the sentiment indicator registered $600 as being very significant and it forecast the start of the major run up in gold prices from $600 to $730.The gold price ran up the next few days and had an intermediate top on 20th of April at $645 then fell back to $607 US on the same day before proceeding sharply higher to $730.

April 10th, 11th and 12th appear as the smaller peak proceeding Top 1 and hinted at the move that lay immediately ahead. It appears that continued elevated levels in the sentiment indicator without a spike are associated with the days prior to a major break out to the upside in the gold price.

Top 2. Was the biggest spike in the sentiment indicator since its inception and it occurred on May 10th and 11th, it provided a clear indication that the gold price was about to reach a major top, and that top took place on May 12th when the gold price hit a high of $730 per ounce.

Bottom 1. The major bottom in the sharp downtrend from the May 12th high was suggested by another major spike in the sentiment indicator which occured on June the 13th. The gold price hit a bottom of $542 on June the 14th and has been rising since then. The size of this spike in the sentiment indicator gave a clear signal that a major bottom had occurred.

Top 3. Was another spike in the sentiment indicator marking an intermediate top in the gold price. The sentiment indicator was showing a spike on July 13th, the intermediate top in the gold price came a few days later on July 17th at $676 US.

Bottom 2. The sentiment indicator spiked on July 24th marking another bottom in the gold price. The gold price bottomed at $602US on the 24th of July.

Top 4. The sentiment indicator was at an elevated level on the 31st of July but did not form a spike. We have interpreted this as an intermediate top but its possible the sentiment indicator is alerting us to a possible break out in the gold price from its current triangle formation in the near future, as its pattern is similar to the days before the break out above $600 prior to Top 1, which occurred in Mid April 2006, when gold ran from the break out above $600 up to $730.

August 1st, 2nd and 3rd have all showed elevated levels in the sentiment indicator, this level of continued strength in the sentiment indicator without a spike is generally associated with a break out in the gold price ahead. We shall see.